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RICS Valuation

Terminal Value (TV)

The value attributed to a property at the end of an explicit DCF projection period — usually calculated by capitalising the next year's NOI at an exit cap rate.

Detailed explanation

TV is a critical DCF input because it typically represents 40-60% of total discounted value. Formula: TV = (NOI year N+1 × (1 + growth)) / Exit cap rate, less disposal costs (~2%). The exit cap rate is typically the entry cap rate + 25-50 bps to reflect asset ageing over the holding period. TV is then discounted back to present using the WACC. Sensitivity analysis should flex exit cap and long-term growth to test the outcome.

Moroccan example

A 10-year DCF on a Casablanca CFC office building: NOI year 11 = 11 M MAD, exit cap 7.5% → TV gross = 147 M MAD, net after 2% disposal = 144 M MAD. Discounted at WACC 9% for 10 years = ~61 M MAD PV.

Related terms

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)Capitalisation Rate (Cap Rate)WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital)

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